Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000155 0.000172 0.000190 0.000211 0.000234 0.000260 0.000289
2025-04-20 0.000125 0.000149 0.000177 0.000212 0.000255 0.000307 0.000375
2025-04-27 0.000107 0.000135 0.000170 0.000216 0.000278 0.000357 0.000467
2025-05-04 0.000093 0.000123 0.000161 0.000216 0.000291 0.000394 0.000547
2025-05-11 0.000084 0.000115 0.000156 0.000218 0.000307 0.000436 0.000639
2025-05-18 0.000076 0.000106 0.000150 0.000216 0.000317 0.000469 0.000721
2025-05-25 0.000069 0.000099 0.000144 0.000214 0.000326 0.000501 0.000805
2025-06-01 0.000063 0.000093 0.000138 0.000211 0.000332 0.000528 0.000885
2025-06-08 0.000056 0.000085 0.000130 0.000204 0.000330 0.000542 0.000942
2025-06-15 0.000053 0.000082 0.000128 0.000207 0.000344 0.000585 0.001057
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000080 0.000127 0.000211 0.000362 0.000634 0.001192
2025-06-29 0.000047 0.000075 0.000121 0.000206 0.000362 0.000654 0.001271
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000068 0.000113 0.000196 0.000353 0.000655 0.001317
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000065 0.000110 0.000196 0.000364 0.000697 0.001461
2025-07-20 0.000038 0.000064 0.000110 0.000200 0.000382 0.000758 0.001654
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000061 0.000107 0.000199 0.000391 0.000798 0.001811
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000059 0.000105 0.000201 0.000405 0.000854 0.002014
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000056 0.000103 0.000200 0.000412 0.000894 0.002186
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000054 0.000100 0.000198 0.000419 0.000933 0.002364
2025-08-24 0.000028 0.000051 0.000097 0.000195 0.000422 0.000965 0.002531
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000048 0.000092 0.000189 0.000416 0.000973 0.002629
2025-09-07 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000191 0.000431 0.001037 0.002909
2025-09-14 0.000024 0.000046 0.000091 0.000195 0.000450 0.001115 0.003249